II find it ironic that so many "savvy" commentators talk now about how it was politically counterproductive to focus on how Trump was a threat to democracy. “That's not the way to win,” they say. “If Democrats just focused on anything else, you know, the so-called kitchen-table issues, they would have had a better chance of winning.” And so therefore, I guess, of indirectly saving democracy. I will admit to thinking along these lines from time to time myself: nothing mattered but beating Trump and pushing MAGA to the margins where it belongs. Once that’s done, I thought, the saner among us can argue about where we go from there. But it had to be decisive rejection of Trump and MAGA up and down the ticket. We got the opposite. And we have to face the facts about what that means.
Pushing MAGA back to the margins is no longer possible, and if that’s true, then a functional democracy isn’t possible anymore. Trump won, and because he won he has shown that most Americans have no idea about what maintaining a democratic republic requires. Since their election of Reagan and with it his dismantling of the New Deal Order, we’ve gradually become more Pottersville and less Bedford Falls.
In choosing Trump, most Americans have completed this devolution. We are now an unadulterated, unconstrained, unmitigated Pottersville, and any Liberal fantasies= of being anything else are just that, fantasies. And in their doing so, have left him free to quash what's left of any Liberal fantasies that anything truly better is possible, including a healthy, functioning democracy.
If we vote for Democrats, we do so because they run Pottersville more competently, but we see now more clearly that it’s always been Pottersville. The Democrats are a hollow party obsessed with rules and procedures that nobody in Pottersville understands or cares about anymore. They are out of tune with the logic of life in Pottersville, but they don’t seem to have realized that yet. That’s why their appeals to saving democracy didn’t work. Most Americans don’t understand or care about democracy. They just care about the price of eggs and their team winning in the culture war.
Even if most Americans don't understand that this is what happened to us, the rest of the world understands. They are watching the U.S. now as we watched the Soviet Union's collapse in the '90s. As with it then, our collapse now has been a long time in the making. And like the USSR, I expect the U.S. to take a path very similar the one taken there and in much of Eastern Europe.
This will make more explicit what was already structurally implicit: since Reagan, we have grown into an oligarchical kleptocracy while retaining some guardrails against its worst excesses. But with this election Trump has been given pretty much carte blanche to dismantle what’s left of the guardrails, and so we move into a more unashamed, open, uninhibited version of an oligarchic kleptocracy, in other words, Pottersville.
So Trump's having won has been clarifying for its abolishing any ambiguity about what America is and what it can be. If it’s capable of being anything better, the Democrats have lost whatever credibility they might have once had to make the case because of their complicity with the oligarchs since the ‘90s.
Trump is just a more honest version of its essential corruption. He’s no longer shocking in his open transgression and subverting of norms because people have stopped believing in them. So he's the almost perfect excrescence of the basic nihilistic ideological superstructure of American techno-capitalism and the material substructure it justifies. Trump is is its essence for us to see displayed it in all its vulgar, shameless magnificence. Wall St. did back flips and entre-chats and jigged for joy when he was elected. What’s democracy have to do with us?
So while Trump might not represent what most Americans are as individuals, he does represent what we are in the collective. If Liberals are honest, they must now confront the brutal reality that what they want they cannot have in America, at least not within its current techno-capitalist framework. The system doesn’t even have to pretend to care about Liberal ideals anymore.
Some people believe that after Trump we can recover, but recover what exactly? The rule of law? A functioning legislative branch? A justly distributive economy? A color-blind justice system? A humane foreign policy? Well, they might say, we can recover “democracy”. But democracy is what has just given us Trump, and it is as such a failed democracy. The first time you could argue it was an aberration, but not the second time.
I believe democracy is the most mature form of polity because it requires the highest level of moral maturity from its citizens. If a society cannot produce a plurality of morally mature citizens, it cannot expect to survive.
Most ordinary Americans live in a dreamscape in which the poor long to become rich and famous or otherwise settle for bread and circuses, and the rich and famous long to live forever in a brave, new, soulless, transhumanist mechanopolis. Such people do not care about democracy because they have no idea about the kind of moral maturity it requires.
Democracy is a “form” of government, and it cannot work if it is an empty form. Everything about the TCM works to erode and hollow out and diminish the vitality that animates the forms that make democracy possible. If we are to “recover” democracy, we must first recover the civic vitality without which in cannot be sustained. And that is a cultural project, not a political one.
We think that somehow if we just keep fighting for democracy, the vitality to sustain it will just appear out of nowhere to sustain it. But the more basic task is to develop citizens who are not hollow, and who recognize what it required of them. That is a cultural/spiritual task, and it cannot be accomplished within the political sphere.
So until that preliminary cultural transformation is effected, I just don't see what there is to "recover". Trump’s second term will be the final blow to system that has been rickety for years now, and I just don't see where there's oppositional solidarity enough based on an inspiring alternative vision of civic virtue and the common good that could possibly succeed. So the sooner Liberals realize that it's not about recovering, but about creating something very different by drawing on resources that have for the most part been forgotten in the developed West, the quicker we can pass through this dark night. I don't think this requires revolution, but rather the growing of something within the belly of the beast that over time becomes strong enough to sicken, kill, and replace it. More about that in the future.
In the meanwhile, life will go on for most as it did before. Nothing much obvious will change in the lives of most Americans. The rich will continue to get richer, and the poor poorer. Nothing new there. But life will become meaner and darker and more violent. If things get really bad, there will be the occasional Novalny who throws himself onto the spears of the regime, and for a while Liberals will be embarrassed by how their cowering inaction contrasts with his reckless courage. At least he's doing something, right? Individuals have to follow their consciences, and it is not for me to say that such gestures are meaningless, but I, for one, am not into tilting at windmills. There has to be a reasonable chance of success, and that requires preparation and building solidarity around an inspiring vision forthe future. Democracy by itself is not enough.
So what to expect in the next year? We'll go through some significant chaos. The harebrained incompetency will be comical. The meanness and cruelty will be nauseating. The lying and gaslighting will be infuriating. The MAGA world will go through continued infighting between its oligarchic wing and its populist wing, as we saw last week between Musk and Bannon. But the oligarchs will almost certainly win that fight because they almost certainly will find more favor with Trump. The J.D. Vance/Kevin Roberts theocratic faction might be thrown a bone or two if it doesn't cost the oligarchs anything.
But the theocrats and populists will have little or no influence because Trump and the mafia around him couldn't care less about the material or religious interests of ordinary Americans, whom they consider losers. Trump and his posse knows they won't be held to account, and that they have carte blanche to do as they please.
Yes, we cannot see around corners, and the unexpected is always a possibility. But we must face the facts as they present themselves to us, and they present a very dark picture.
***
Am I giving in to hopelessness?
No.
But it sure looks like it, right?
Ok. I'm going to say it: Only in the darkness can we see the stars. Like most cliches, if you chip away what has encrusted them, there's a vibrant truth pulsing in their core. Sometimes you just have to embrace the darkness rather than turn on other lights of our own contrivance that distract and pollute and so prevent us from seeing what's been there invisibly all along.
I realize that the story I've been telling about how we've lost our way as a civilization dating back to theological arguments in the 1300s seems far-fetched. Most people don't have enough knowledge of Western intellectual history to be able to judge whether it holds water. It's all academic, they think. And even if it's mostly right, what possible relevance can it have for us now? Besides, nobody else I follow online is talking about such ideas. I'll just go with the standard narrative that we learned in school: science obsoletized everything that our hidebound, benighted, superstitious premodern ancestors understood to be true. We just know better now. Sure we have problems--what generation of humans hasn't? But we're clever enough as a species to work it out. Right???
This is what I would describe, perhaps unfairly, as the Ezra Klein Liberal narrative. Klein is an honest, intelligent, insightful guy. I often learn from him. Where he comes up short, from my pov, is in his assumption that we can have a decent human future within the TCM. At the end of the day, he's just a very eloquent apologist for the Liberal Order that, whether he realizes it or not, is crumbling all around him. Nobody but a relative few among the educated elite believes in it anymore.
I'm arguing that this crumbling results from our entire contemporary civilization being built on profoundly flawed metaphysical and epistemological premises. These premises, instead of increasing the scope of our knowledge, have profoundly diminished it—and in doing so have all but sealed us off from the only sources we can draw upon to find real solutions to the lethality of the problems these flawed premises have engendered.
If I'm right about that, then at least a part of the task ahead of us is to restore a broader, richer epistemology and metaphysics to replace the one running our civilization now. Ideas matter because of the way they open up or close down possibilities. It’s not the material possibilities that our materialist presuppositions have opened up for us that concerns me, so much as what they have closed down—and in doing so have closed down a path toward something truly richer, deeper, and better.
But philosophy is the last place most people would look for a solution, and for good reason. Most of the philosophy of the post-WWII era is either an articulation of the nihilism of life lived within the suffocating encroachment of the TCM or an exercise in academic triviality. Especially in the Anglophone/Francophone world, it's mostly been the manic scribbling of inmates on their prison walls. That kind of philosophy is, of course, a symptom of the illness rather than a cure for it. But that doesn't mean that philosophy in the Socratic/Platonic tradition at its best can't offer a cure. Most people have have only superficial stereotypes about that tradition, and so have no idea about how rich and relevant that it can be.
And that's why I think what Charles Taylor and David Bentley Hart are doing is so important. Whether or not their work will break through into a larger cultural conversation, I don't know. But at the very least they're laying the groundwork for something to break through in the future. Their work is flickering starlight that I hope more thoughtful Liberals will be willing to pay attention to as the Liberal Order continues its slo-mo collapse and the darkness grows around them. (I'd love to hear Klein interview Hart.)
That's why the metaphor about seeing the stars at night is apt. We need a point of reference outside of the prison walls. This "outside" reference point was essential for every great civilization at least since the Axial Revolution. Including our civilization--until we lost it. We didn't reject what the ancestors knew because we found out it wasn't true; we simply forgot about it as we became so obsessed with our gadgets. And so now we've come to see these gadgets as created in our own image and likeness, and so reciprocally we reduce ourselves to what we see of ourselves in them. This has created a doom loop that is dehumanizing and insane, and yet we accept it as normal. So the task now is not to invent something out of nothing, but to remember what we once knew, and adapt and harmonize it with everything else we have come to know since.
The arc of history is long, and it does bend toward the light. I truly believe that. But in any given moment, you can only work with the light that is available to you, and right now we have but a fuzzy, indistinct flicker here and there. We need to build those flickers into a blaze. Nothing substantively changes until we do.