Micah in his comment on my "What's Next?" post today makes me wonder what others think. How many of you think the Dems can reclaim the House in '06? Are Bush's dismal approval ratings relevant in local races? Or is the local culture and the strength of the particular candidates more important? Or are things so ideologically driven now it doesn't matter who the candidate is so long as the party base perceive him or her as orthodox?
The Dems need 15 seats. Can they get them? What do you think? Leave a brief comment with the number of seats you think they're likely to pick up. They lost seats in '04, and my gut tells me that at best they'll gain about 8-10 next year. Convince me I'm wrong.
I'm also not averse to people making an argument from real knowledge. Anybody know of any sites where this thing is being tracked in an objective way? Or is it too early? Didn't find the Swing State Project that helpful, but maybe I need to read through its entries more carefully.
Also check out this idea from Walter Cronkite. The Dems answer to the Contract with America that ousted them in '94?